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Merikh Kosti vs Madani Prediction & H2H Stats

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Merikh Kosti and Madani finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Merikh Kosti
30%
Draws
39%
Madani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Madani come out ahead of Merikh Kosti on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Merikh Kosti Clean Sheet 10%
Madani Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merikh Kosti Madani
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
2:3
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Madani vs Merikh Kosti
2:0
Sep 27, 2017 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
2:0
Feb 13, 2017 Premier League
Madani vs Merikh Kosti
1:0
Sep 6, 2016 Premier League
Merikh Kosti vs Madani
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merikh Kosti 30 / 100
Madani 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merikh Kosti Madani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Merikh Kosti found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Madani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Merikh Kosti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merikh Kosti VS Madani
1.17 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merikh Kosti

(Home)
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Umm Mughad
10 Feb
Merikh Kosti
2 : 3
Madani
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5
Merikh Kosti
02 Feb
Al Hilal Manaqil
0 : 0
Merikh Kosti
29 Jan
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2
Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 6

Madani

(Away)
12 Sept
Tusker
1 : 0
Madani
06 Sept
Madani
2 : 2
Tusker
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman II 10 6 4 0 17:5 22
2 Hilal Alsahil 10 5 4 1 13:6 19
3 Al Shorta 10 3 4 3 8:6 13
4 Al Taqadom 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Al-Mergheni 10 0 7 3 9:14 7
6 Kober 10 1 2 7 3:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 10 10 0 0 24:6 30
2 Umm Mughad 10 5 3 2 18:8 18
3 Al Hilal Manaqil 10 3 5 2 10:7 14
4 Rabita Kosti 10 3 1 6 7:14 10
5 Ahli Khartoum 10 1 3 6 7:21 6
6 Merikh Kosti 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Merreikh II 10 6 4 0 15:7 22
2 Alfalah Atbra 10 3 4 3 5:4 13
3 Al Saham Ad Damer 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
4 Al Hilal Karima 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
5 Alamal SC Atbara 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Al-Ahly Merowe 10 1 6 3 6:8 9
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilal El-Fasher 10 5 4 1 11:7 19
2 Hay Al Wadi 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
3 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Al Fajr 10 3 3 4 16:18 12
5 Zamala Ruwaba 10 3 2 5 11:13 11
6 Al-Merreikh Obeid 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)