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Merkuur-Juunior vs JK Jalgpallihaigla

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2005 game between Merkuur-Juunior and JK Jalgpallihaigla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward JK Jalgpallihaigla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merkuur-Juunior
6%
Draws
4%
JK Jalgpallihaigla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur-Juunior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JK Jalgpallihaigla come out ahead of Merkuur-Juunior on wins alone.
  • Model gives Merkuur-Juunior a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • JK Jalgpallihaigla have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 20%
JK Jalgpallihaigla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur-Juunior JK Jalgpallihaigla
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 1 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 5 5.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 5.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2005 Esiliiga
JK Jalgpallihaigla vs Merkuur-Juunior
3:1
Jul 23, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs JK Jalgpallihaigla
1:2
Jul 5, 2005 Esiliiga
JK Jalgpallihaigla vs Merkuur-Juunior
0:0
Mar 12, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs JK Jalgpallihaigla
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur-Juunior 85 / 100
JK Jalgpallihaigla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur-Juunior JK Jalgpallihaigla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JK Jalgpallihaigla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 33 matches.

Merkuur-Juunior's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: JK Jalgpallihaigla has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merkuur-Juunior VS JK Jalgpallihaigla
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
5 Goals Conceded 5.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parnu Linnameeskond36266492:3984
2Levadia U21362646104:3182
3Lasnamae362385111:3077
4Tallinna Kalev36189985:7163
5Tervis Parnu361491373:5351
6TVMK Tallinn II361251951:8041
7Elva361062042:7136
8Lelle361112449:10034
9JK Jalgpallihaigla36942338:10031
10Merkuur-Juunior36262827:9712