Sport Picks
Merkuur Tartu vs Rada Kuusalu
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
The Estonian Cup 2015/2016 game between Merkuur Tartu and Rada Kuusalu finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merkuur Tartu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Merkuur Tartu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rada Kuusalu haven't matched Merkuur Tartu's recent run of results.
- Merkuur Tartu are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Estonian Cup 2015/2016 game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Rada Kuusalu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merkuur Tartu | Rada Kuusalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 18 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.75 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2015 Estonian Cup
Merkuur Tartu vs Rada Kuusalu
4:2
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merkuur Tartu 74 / 100
Rada Kuusalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merkuur Tartu Rada Kuusalu
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Rada Kuusalu conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Merkuur Tartu scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Rada Kuusalu lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Merkuur Tartu VS Rada Kuusalu
3 Goals Scored 2.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora-
TBD-
Lasnamae1
Flora Tallinn U214
Tallinna Dnipro-
TBD-
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco-
Kalju III3
Tartu Ulikool2
TBD-
Otepaa-
Lootos FCR-
TBD-
FCP Parnu5
Retro7
Nomme Utd9
Kohtla-Nomme1
Igiliikur1
Ganvix Turi3
Jogeva9
JK Jalgpallihaigla1
Rapla2
Metropool Parnu6
Kuressaare20
Rapla Lokomotiiv0
IceBears1
SK Taaksi10
JK Poseidon3
Rumori Calcio2
TBD-
Santos Tartu-
Torva JK7
Raasiku Valla1
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve-
Fellin-
TBD-
TBD-
SK EPMU Tartu-
Tallinna Kalev III-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Jarva-Jaani-
TBD-
Valga Warrior0
Navi Vutiselts4
Parnu Linnameeskond-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Maardu United4
Narva United3
Harju JK Laagri1
FCI Tallinn II5
Viimsi JK2
Tallinna Kalev1
TBD-
Oismae Torm-
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Flora U190
Kose0
Tammeka Tartu4
Sillamae Kalev-
TBD-
TransferWise1
Marjamaa2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts-
TBD-
Raudteetoolised0
Paide Linnameeskond31
Merkuur Tartu-
TBD-
Raasiku Joker3
Rada Kuusalu4
Olympic Tallinn2
Pedajamae0
Kadakas0
Levadia8
Tulevik2
Keila JK1
Kusimark1
Kaitseliit12
Tallinn Piraaja2
Castovanni Eagles0
Virtsu0
FCI Tallinn36
Narva14
Eestimaa Kasakad0
Twister Tallinn2
Imavere Forss6
Tallinn CF4
Elva3
TBD-
Kalju-
Tallinn Forza3
Saue JK Laagri0
Tabasalu1
Roosu4
Ambla-
TBD-
TBD-
Rakvere-
Tabivere-
TBD-
Helios0
Pirita5
Maardu Starbunker II-
TBD-
Reaal1
Vaatsa Vald2
Vastseliina Tannem4
Tallinna Depoo2
Moe0
Lelle1
Like & Share2
Jogeva Wolves1
Puhkus Mehhikos1
Soccernet2
Eston Villa2
FC Tartu1
TBD-
Legion-
Bronx Wood5
Roosad Pantrid0
TBD-
Viimsi MRJK-
1/32-finals
Flora3
Flora Tallinn U211
Tallinna Dnipro0
Tartu JK Welco3
Kalju III4
Otepaa1
Lootos FCR0
Retro12
Nomme Utd4
Ganvix Turi3
Jogeva1
Metropool Parnu4
Kuressaare4
SK Taaksi2
JK Poseidon0
Santos Tartu11
Torva JK1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Fellin1
SK EPMU Tartu5
Tallinna Kalev III1
Loo JK0
Jarva-Jaani1
Navi Vutiselts2
Parnu Linnameeskond1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Maardu United1
FCI Tallinn II4
Viimsi JK6
Oismae Torm0
Maardu Linnameeskond1
Tammeka Tartu5
Sillamae Kalev6
Marjamaa1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts0
Paide Linnameeskond13
Merkuur Tartu4
Rada Kuusalu2
Olympic Tallinn0
Levadia14
Tulevik7
Kaitseliit0
Tallinn Piraaja0
FCI Tallinn8
Narva12
Imavere Forss0
Tallinn CF0
Kalju3
Tallinn Forza7
Roosu2
Ambla0
Rakvere10
Tabivere1
Pirita0
Maardu Starbunker II0
Vaatsa Vald3
Vastseliina Tannem2
Lelle0
Like & Share2
Soccernet4
Eston Villa5
Legion1
Bronx Wood1
Viimsi MRJK3
1/16-finals
Flora2
Tartu JK Welco0
Kalju III1
Retro2
Nomme Utd8
Metropool Parnu0
Kuressaare3
Santos Tartu4
Torva JK2
SK EPMU Tartu1
Tallinna Kalev III1
Navi Vutiselts3
Parnu Linnameeskond3
FCI Tallinn II0
Viimsi JK0
Tammeka Tartu1
Sillamae Kalev4
Paide Linnameeskond3
Merkuur Tartu1
Levadia13
Tulevik2
FCI Tallinn1
Narva1
Kalju2
Tallinn Forza4
Rakvere0
Tabivere4
Vaatsa Vald7
Vastseliina Tannem5
Soccernet0
Eston Villa2
Viimsi MRJK3
1/8-finals
Flora17
Retro0
Nomme Utd2
Santos Tartu3
Torva JK7
Navi Vutiselts0
Parnu Linnameeskond1
Tammeka Tartu2
Sillamae Kalev1
Levadia0
Tulevik0
Kalju5
Tallinn Forza6
Vaatsa Vald2
Vastseliina Tannem0
Viimsi MRJK4
Quarter-finals
Flora3
Santos Tartu1
Torva JK0
Tammeka Tartu2
Sillamae Kalev1
Kalju0
Tallinn Forza1
Viimsi MRJK6
Semi-finals
Flora2
Tammeka Tartu0
Sillamae Kalev2
Viimsi MRJK0
Final
Flora3
Sillamae Kalev0