Sport Picks

Estonia

Meistriliiga 2006

Merkuur Tartu

4 - 1

Valga Warrior

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2006 game between Merkuur Tartu and Valga Warrior finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merkuur Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Merkuur Tartu

Draws

Valga Warrior

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Merkuur Tartu carry the better recent record into this one.
Merkuur Tartu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Meistriliiga 2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Merkuur Tartu have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 93%

Over 4.5 Goals 42%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merkuur Tartu	Valga Warrior
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	11	4
Draws	5	3
Losses	14	26
Goals Scored	3.43	1.75
Goals Conceded	4.29	7
Expected Goals (xG)	3.43	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.29	7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2006 Meistriliiga

Valga Warrior vs Merkuur Tartu

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Sep 12, 2006 Meistriliiga

Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Jul 8, 2006 Meistriliiga

Valga Warrior vs Merkuur Tartu

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Mar 11, 2006 Meistriliiga

Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

6:0

Sep 21, 2005 Meistriliiga

Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 83 / 100

Valga Warrior 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merkuur Tartu Valga Warrior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valga Warrior conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Merkuur Tartu scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Valga Warrior has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merkuur Tartu VS Valga Warrior

3.43 Goals Scored 1.75

4.29 Goals Conceded 7

100% Over 1.5 100%

86% Over 2.5 100%

86% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levadia	36	30	4	2	114:29	94
2	Narva	36	25	8	3	106:36	83
3	Flora	36	26	4	6	93:34	82
4	TVMK Tallinn	36	22	6	8	83:37	72
5	Merkuur Tartu	36	13	9	14	65:68	48
6	Tammeka Tartu	36	12	7	17	45:57	43
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	36	10	4	22	49:86	34
8	Lasnamae	36	6	7	23	35:104	25
9	Tulevik	36	5	5	26	29:74	20
10	Valga Warrior	36	3	2	31	16:110	11