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Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga 2006
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga 2006 game between Merkuur Tartu and Valga Warrior finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merkuur Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merkuur Tartu
6%
Draws
4%
Valga Warrior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merkuur Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merkuur Tartu has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Valga Warrior.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Merkuur Tartu.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Meistriliiga 2006 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 93%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Merkuur Tartu Clean Sheet 10%
Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merkuur Tartu Valga Warrior
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 3.43 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.29 7
Expected Goals (xG) 3.43 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.29 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2006 Meistriliiga
Valga Warrior vs Merkuur Tartu
1:0
Sep 12, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior
4:1
Jul 8, 2006 Meistriliiga
Valga Warrior vs Merkuur Tartu
0:2
Mar 11, 2006 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior
6:0
Sep 21, 2005 Meistriliiga
Merkuur Tartu vs Valga Warrior
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merkuur Tartu 83 / 100
Valga Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merkuur Tartu Valga Warrior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merkuur Tartu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Valga Warrior let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Merkuur Tartu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Valga Warrior lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merkuur Tartu VS Valga Warrior
3.43 Goals Scored 1.75
4.29 Goals Conceded 7
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
86% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia363042114:2994
2Narva362583106:3683
3Flora36264693:3482
4TVMK Tallinn36226883:3772
5Merkuur Tartu361391465:6848
6Tammeka Tartu361271745:5743
7Parnu JK Vaprus361042249:8634
8Lasnamae36672335:10425
9Tulevik36552629:7420
10Valga Warrior36323116:11011