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Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Hilal Omdurman

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2020/2021 game between Merreikh El-Fasher and Al-Hilal Omdurman finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Hilal Omdurman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Merreikh El-Fasher
30%
Draws
34%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Merreikh El-Fasher a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Hilal Omdurman here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2021 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:1
Mar 9, 2021 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:1
Oct 6, 2020 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1
Dec 23, 2019 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Merreikh El-Fasher
3:0
Jun 22, 2019 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Merreikh El-Fasher
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 36 / 100
Al-Hilal Omdurman 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Hilal Omdurman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hilal Omdurman let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Merreikh El-Fasher scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Merreikh El-Fasher has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Hilal Omdurman
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merreikh El-Fasher

(Home)
24 Sept
Al-Merreikh
2 : 0
Merreikh El-Fasher
18 Aug
Merreikh El-Fasher
0 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
14 Aug
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0
Merreikh El-Fasher
09 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 1
Merreikh El-Fasher
05 Aug
Al-Khartoum
0 : 3
Merreikh El-Fasher
Page 1 of 6

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Away)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2020/2021 (Relegation)