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Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Khartoum in this Premier League 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Khartoum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merreikh El-Fasher
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Khartoum have won more games recently than Merreikh El-Fasher.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Merreikh El-Fasher taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Khartoum Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Khartoum
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2021 Premier League
Al-Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:3
Feb 16, 2021 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Khartoum
0:1
Oct 4, 2020 Premier League
Al-Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher
1:0
Dec 5, 2019 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Khartoum
1:0
Jun 25, 2019 Premier League
Al-Khartoum vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merreikh El-Fasher 95 / 100
Al-Khartoum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merreikh El-Fasher Al-Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Khartoum let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Al-Khartoum registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Merreikh El-Fasher scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Khartoum
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman30254175:1079
2Al-Merreikh30208250:1668
3Hay Al Wadi301211735:2547
4Hay al-Arab301191026:3242
5Al-Khartoum301181134:3441
6Hilal El Obied301011925:3241
7Alamal SC Atbara301091125:2939
8Al-Ahly Merowe309111024:2838
9Hilal El-Fasher301081235:4138
10Hilal Alsahil301051527:3335
11Al Shorta308111126:3635
12Ahli Shendi30971421:2734
13Tuti30891324:3933
14Ahli Khartoum307111217:2832
15Al Hilal Kadougli305101522:3925
16Merreikh El-Fasher30661815:3224