Sport Picks
Merreikh El-Fasher vs El-Ahli Atbara
Sudan
Premier League 2019/2020 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2019/2020 game between Merreikh El-Fasher and El-Ahli Atbara finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merreikh El-Fasher.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merreikh El-Fasher
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Merreikh El-Fasher carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Merreikh El-Fasher's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Merreikh El-Fasher have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Merreikh El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
El-Ahli Atbara Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Merreikh El-Fasher | El-Ahli Atbara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2020 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:2
Dec 28, 2019 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs El-Ahli Atbara
5:0
Apr 13, 2018 Premier League
Merreikh El-Fasher vs El-Ahli Atbara
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merreikh El-Fasher
0:1
Nov 11, 2017 Premier League
El-Ahli Atbara vs Merreikh El-Fasher
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Merreikh El-Fasher 85 / 100
El-Ahli Atbara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Merreikh El-Fasher El-Ahli Atbara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: El-Ahli Atbara registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
El-Ahli Atbara has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Merreikh El-Fasher's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Merreikh El-Fasher VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Merreikh El-Fasher
(Home) 24 Sept
Al-Merreikh
2 : 0 Merreikh El-Fasher
18 Aug
Merreikh El-Fasher
0 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
14 Aug
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Merreikh El-Fasher
09 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 1 Merreikh El-Fasher
05 Aug
Al-Khartoum
0 : 3 Merreikh El-Fasher
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18 Aug
Merreikh El-Fasher
0 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
01 Aug
Merreikh El-Fasher
1 : 0 Ahli Shendi
13 Jul
Merreikh El-Fasher
0 : 0 Hilal El Obied
03 Jul
Merreikh El-Fasher
0 : 1 Al-Ahly Merowe
15 Jun
Merreikh El-Fasher
1 : 0 Al Hilal Kadougli
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El-Ahli Atbara
(Away) 16 Oct
Al-Khartoum
5 : 1 El-Ahli Atbara
13 Oct
El-Ahli Atbara
0 : 3 Hay al-Arab
06 Oct
Al-Merreikh
4 : 1 El-Ahli Atbara
04 Oct
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 0 El-Ahli Atbara
01 Oct
El-Ahli Atbara
0 : 2 Ahli Khartoum
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16 Oct
Al-Khartoum
5 : 1 El-Ahli Atbara
06 Oct
Al-Merreikh
4 : 1 El-Ahli Atbara
04 Oct
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 0 El-Ahli Atbara
19 Sept
Hilal El-Fasher
2 : 0 El-Ahli Atbara
05 Mar
Al Shorta
1 : 0 El-Ahli Atbara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 60:17 | 74 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 62:19 | 69 |
| 3 | Hilal El Obied | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 49:24 | 58 |
| 4 | Alamal SC Atbara | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 43:29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hay Al Wadi | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 29:22 | 49 |
| 6 | Hay al-Arab | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 7 | Merreikh El-Fasher | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:30 | 48 |
| 8 | Al-Khartoum | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 30:18 | 46 |
| 9 | Ahli Shendi | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 44 |
| 10 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 11 | Ahli Khartoum | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | 39 |
| 12 | Hilal El-Fasher | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Hilal Kadougli | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 29:46 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Shorta | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | 32 |
| 15 | Alfalah Atbra | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 30 |
| 16 | Rabita Kosti | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 27:58 | 26 |
| 17 | El-Ahli Atbara | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 26:73 | 17 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2019/2020 (Relegation)