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Mersin vs Bucaspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sirin I.
4' Event
Yorulmus O. C.
8' Event
Ozkan E.

AI Match Summary

Bucaspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bucaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mersin
20%
Draws
40%
Bucaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bucaspor lately — more wins on the board than Mersin.
  • Model gives Bucaspor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bucaspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Mersin Clean Sheet 26%
Bucaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mersin Bucaspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Mersin vs Bucaspor
1:6
Oct 8, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Bucaspor vs Mersin
1:0
Jan 13, 2016 Turkish Cup
Mersin vs Bucaspor
1:2
Jan 9, 2016 Turkish Cup
Bucaspor vs Mersin
1:0
Apr 13, 2014 1. Lig
Mersin vs Bucaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mersin Compare

Top Goalscorer Yorulmus O. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Bucaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakmak I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sirin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mersin 10 / 100
Bucaspor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mersin Bucaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bucaspor registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mersin scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bucaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mersin

(Home)
05 May
Mersin
0 : 7
Sancaktepe
29 Apr
Inegolspor
5 : 0
Mersin
22 Apr
Mersin
1 : 2
Sariyer
14 Apr
Korfez SK
2 : 2
Mersin
08 Apr
Mersin
0 : 8
Eyupspor
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Bucaspor

(Away)
04 May
Bucaspor
2 : 4
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
28 Apr
Turgutlu
2 : 1
Bucaspor
21 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 1
Golcukspor
14 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 1
Bucaspor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 34 23 7 4 63:15 76
2 Menemenspor 34 22 8 4 68:26 74
3 Afyonspor 34 21 7 6 62:31 70
4 Sivas Dort 34 19 10 5 57:29 67
5 Keciorengucu 34 19 7 8 77:41 64
6 Sancaktepe 34 16 11 7 58:32 59
7 Inegolspor 34 17 8 9 53:41 59
8 Sariyer 34 13 5 16 44:45 44
9 Tokatspor 34 11 10 13 37:45 43
10 Etimesgut 34 11 9 14 44:47 42
11 Kastamonuspor 34 12 4 18 46:49 40
12 Eyupspor 34 11 6 17 52:62 39
13 Tuzlaspor 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
14 Bodrumspor 34 10 8 16 39:53 38
15 Amedspor 34 10 10 14 37:41 37
16 Bucaspor 34 10 9 15 51:60 36
17 Korfez SK 34 4 4 26 30:78 13
18 Mersin 34 1 1 32 19:133 -20
Promotion - 1. Lig 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 2. Lig Red Group 2017/2018 (Play Offs)