Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mersrags in this Latvian Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mersrags
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Brali haven't matched Mersrags's recent run of results.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Brali taking it.
- Mersrags have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mersrags, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 80%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Mersrags Clean Sheet 10%
Brali Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mersrags | Brali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 5 | 3.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.40 | 3.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 8, 2012 Latvian Cup
Mersrags vs Brali
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mersrags 10 / 100
Brali 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mersrags Brali
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brali let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Brali has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Mersrags found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).
Scoring Trends
Mersrags VS Brali
1 Goals Scored 2
5 Goals Conceded 3.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
80% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
Mersrags
(Home) 09 Jul
Mersrags
0 : 8 Caramba
02 Jul
DSVK Traktors
2 : 3 Mersrags
30 Jun
Mersrags
0 : 10 RFS
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1 Brali
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0 Mersrags
09 Jul
Mersrags
0 : 8 Caramba
30 Jun
Mersrags
0 : 10 RFS
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1 Brali
Brali
(Away) 08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1 Brali
18 Jun
Brali
1 : 6 FK Madona Kvarcs
05 Jun
Jelgava/Jauniesi
3 : 4 Brali
18 Jul
FK 1625 Liepaja
4 : 1 Brali
17 Oct
Brali
3 : 4 FK 1625 Liepaja
08 Jun
Mersrags
2 : 1 Brali
05 Jun
Jelgava/Jauniesi
3 : 4 Brali
18 Jul
FK 1625 Liepaja
4 : 1 Brali
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
FK Alberts 2
Ludzas SK 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS -
TBD -
Brali 1
Mersrags 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Valka 2
Rinuzi 4
FK Ilukste -
TBD -
TBD -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 1
Saldus 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Ventspils -
TBD -
Rezekne 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Alberts 0
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
RFS 10
Mersrags 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Valmiera 1
Rinuzi 2
FK Ilukste 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
TBD -
Gulbene -
Skonto -
TBD -
Kuldigas NSS 0
Tukums 2000 1
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Ventspils 3
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FC Jurmala 7
FK Metta 1
RFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Daugava Riga 6
Rinuzi 0
FK Ilukste 1
Gulbene 4
Skonto 6
Tukums 2000 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
Ventspils 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FC Jurmala 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
FK Daugava Riga 7
Gulbene 0
Skonto 1
FK Liepaja 3
Semi-finals
Ventspils 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
FK Liepaja 2
Final
Ventspils 2
FK Liepaja 1
