Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merstham vs Carshalton

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ifeanyi B.
55' Event
Salami K.
85' Event
Smith D.

AI Match Summary

Carshalton in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Merstham
6%
Draws
90%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carshalton lately — more wins on the board than Merstham.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Carshalton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Carshalton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Merstham Clean Sheet 20%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merstham Carshalton
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 6 12
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:4
Jul 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Carshalton vs Merstham
2:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Carshalton
3:5
Apr 23, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Carshalton
1:2
Dec 11, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Merstham
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merstham Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ifeanyi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merstham 10 / 100
Carshalton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merstham Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carshalton conceded in 87% of 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Merstham scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Merstham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carshalton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merstham

(Home)
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
14 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Merstham
Page 1 of 7

Carshalton

(Away)
18 Jul
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Carshalton
11 Jul
Carshalton
0 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
04 Jul
Carshalton
4 : 0
Bromley
25 Apr
Carshalton
1 : 0
St. Albans
18 Apr
Aveley
0 : 0
Carshalton
Page 1 of 8