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Merstham vs Leatherhead

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
47' Event
59' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Merstham and Leatherhead finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merstham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Merstham
20%
Draws
65%
Leatherhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leatherhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Leatherhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leatherhead are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merstham Leatherhead
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Merstham vs Leatherhead
3:1
Mar 5, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Leatherhead
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Merstham
2:3
May 8, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Merstham
0:0
Apr 7, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
Merstham vs Leatherhead
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merstham 10 / 100
Leatherhead 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merstham Leatherhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leatherhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merstham scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Leatherhead conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Merstham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merstham VS Leatherhead
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merstham

(Home)
29 Aug
Peacehaven & Telscombe
2 : 1
Merstham
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
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Leatherhead

(Away)
12 Sept
Aveley
1 : 2
Leatherhead
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
31 Aug
Leatherhead
2 : 3
Dulwich Hamlet
29 Aug
Eastbourne Borough
0 : 1
Leatherhead
22 Aug
Leatherhead
1 : 4
Maldon & Tiptree
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