Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merten in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Merten
15%
Draws
40%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Merten average 2.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Bergisch Gladbach's 2.57.
  • Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Merten Clean Sheet 17%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.86 2.57
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
4:1
Nov 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Merten
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Merten
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Merten vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 75 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bergisch Gladbach conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Merten has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Bergisch Gladbach
1.67 Goals Scored 2
0.83 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
Page 1 of 6

Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
02 Sept
Lotte
0 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
29 Aug
Bergisch Gladbach
0 : 4
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)