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Merten vs FC Hurth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten Logo

Merten

3 - 1
FT
FC Hurth Logo

FC Hurth

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Merten and FC Hurth finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Merten
30%
Draws
31%
FC Hurth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Merten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Merten Clean Sheet 20%
FC Hurth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten FC Hurth
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.87 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Hurth
3:1
May 1, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Hurth
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Merten
2:3
May 10, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs FC Hurth
1:3
Oct 28, 2018 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Hurth vs Merten
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 85 / 100
FC Hurth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten FC Hurth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

FC Hurth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Merten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS FC Hurth
3.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 29%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
04 Oct
Merten
6 : 1
Eintracht Hohkeppel
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
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FC Hurth

(Away)
04 Oct
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
0 : 1
FC Hurth
27 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 2
Chlodwig Zulpich
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 18:9 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 5 4 0 1 13:7 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
5 Merten 6 3 1 2 19:10 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 16:17 10
7 FC Hurth 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
8 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 17:17 9
9 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 16:11 8
10 Frechen 6 2 2 2 12:12 8
11 1. FC Duren 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
12 Hennef 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 SpVg Porz 1919 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Siegburger 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Konigsdorf 5 0 0 5 6:27 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)