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Merten vs Hennef

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Merten Logo

Merten

4 - 0
FT
Hennef Logo

Hennef

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Merten and Hennef finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Merten
20%
Draws
23%
Hennef
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merten come out ahead of Hennef on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Merten Clean Sheet 16%
Hennef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Hennef
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Hennef
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Merten
0:3
May 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Merten
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Hennef
1:2
Apr 14, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs Merten
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 84 / 100
Hennef 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Hennef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hennef's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Merten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Hennef
4 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
Page 1 of 6

Hennef

(Away)
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
07 Jun
Hennef
1 : 3
Bornheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)