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Stadium Background

Merten vs Pesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Merten and Pesch finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merten
6%
Draws
4%
Pesch
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pesch haven't matched Merten's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Merten Clean Sheet 20%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Pesch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 26
Goals Scored 4 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Pesch
5:2
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Pesch
4:1
Sep 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
2:1
Jun 3, 2018 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 85 / 100
Pesch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Pesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pesch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Merten went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Pesch
4 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 2
Merten
10 May
Merten
4 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
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Pesch

(Away)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128
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