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Merten vs Pesch Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Merten Logo

Merten

5 - 2
FT
Pesch Logo

Pesch

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Merten and Pesch finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Merten
15%
Draws
0%
Pesch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pesch haven't matched Merten's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Merten Clean Sheet 20%
Pesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Pesch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 2.79 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.07 3.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Pesch
5:2
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Pesch
4:1
Sep 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
2:1
Jun 3, 2018 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Pesch vs Merten
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 85 / 100
Pesch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Pesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pesch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pesch lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Pesch
4.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
Merten
3 : 1
FC Hurth
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
Page 1 of 6

Pesch

(Away)
07 Jun
Pesch
0 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
31 May
Konigsdorf
2 : 0
Pesch
25 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Bornheim
17 May
Siegburger
2 : 0
Pesch
10 May
Pesch
0 : 2
Teutonia Weiden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)