Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merten vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Merten and Siegburger finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Merten
20%
Draws
33%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Siegburger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Merten here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Merten Clean Sheet 13%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Siegburger
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.76 2.52
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:0
Jun 7, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
5:1
Dec 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
0:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 84 / 100
Siegburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Siegburger conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Merten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Siegburger
4.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
13 Sept
VfL Vichttal
2 : 2
Merten
06 Sept
Merten
5 : 0
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
Page 1 of 6

Siegburger

(Away)
13 Sept
Siegburger
2 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
06 Sept
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 2
Siegburger
30 Aug
Siegburger
2 : 0
Merten
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
19 Jul
FC Monheim
2 : 3
Siegburger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)