Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merten vs Siegburger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Merten and Siegburger finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merten
6%
Draws
4%
Siegburger
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Siegburger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Merten's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Merten here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Merten Clean Sheet 10%
Siegburger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten Siegburger
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 4.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
5:1
Dec 14, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
0:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs Siegburger
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:4
Jun 16, 2019 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Siegburger vs Merten
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 83 / 100
Siegburger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten Siegburger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Merten remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Siegburger conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS Siegburger
4.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 2
Merten
10 May
Merten
4 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
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Siegburger

(Away)
26 Jul
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
6 : 1
Siegburger
19 Jul
FC Monheim
2 : 3
Siegburger
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Siegburger
3 : 0
Hennef
25 May
VfL Vichttal
3 : 2
Siegburger
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)