Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merten vs SpVg Porz 1919

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merten in this Oberliga Mittelrhein matchup, with the score ending 8-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merten
6%
Draws
4%
SpVg Porz 1919
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Merten lately — more wins on the board than SpVg Porz 1919.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Merten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Merten have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Merten Clean Sheet 16%
SpVg Porz 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merten SpVg Porz 1919
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 4 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs SpVg Porz 1919
8:3
Nov 30, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Merten
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs Merten
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Merten vs SpVg Porz 1919
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merten 84 / 100
SpVg Porz 1919 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merten SpVg Porz 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merten found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: SpVg Porz 1919 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Merten stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merten VS SpVg Porz 1919
4 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Merten

(Home)
07 Jun
Merten
5 : 1
Siegburger
31 May
Teutonia Weiden
0 : 10
Merten
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 2
Merten
10 May
Merten
4 : 1
Bergisch Gladbach
Page 1 of 6

SpVg Porz 1919

(Away)
07 Jun
Bergisch Gladbach
10 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
31 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 4
Frechen
22 May
Merten
8 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
17 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 5
Hennef
10 May
VfL Vichttal
3 : 3
SpVg Porz 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)