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Merthyr Town vs Carlton Town

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hutson C.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Howes A.

AI Match Summary

Merthyr Town host Carlton Town in the Club Friendly 2022. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Carlton Town have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Merthyr Town have conceded 2.25 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Merthyr Town have won 0 to Carlton Town's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2022, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.63, favoring Merthyr Town. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Merthyr Town
33%
Draws
27%
Carlton Town
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Carlton Town has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Merthyr Town.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Merthyr Town.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 14%
Carlton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Carlton Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 2.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Merthyr Town vs Carlton Town
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Carlton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Howes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 39 / 100
Carlton Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Carlton Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Carlton Town let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Carlton Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%