Sport Picks

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Trophy

Harborough

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This one's hard to separate. Merthyr Town have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Harborough to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Merthyr Town

35%

Draws

47%

Harborough

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Harborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 15%

Harborough Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merthyr Town	Harborough
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	8	12
Draws	10	11
Losses	12	5
Goals Scored	1.47	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 31 / 100

Harborough 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merthyr Town Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Harborough

1 Goals Scored 1.13

2 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)

31 Oct

Radcliffe

3 : 3

Merthyr Town

27 Oct

Oxford City

3 : 0

Merthyr Town

24 Oct

Merthyr Town

1 : 3

Morecambe

17 Oct

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

King’s Lynn

10 Oct

Darlington FC

1 : 1

Merthyr Town

Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)

31 Oct

Hebburn Town

1 : 1

Harborough

27 Oct

Buxton

3 : 0

Harborough

24 Oct

Harborough

1 : 1

Worksop

17 Oct

Harborough

3 : 1

Spennymoor

10 Oct

Harborough

1 : 0

Southport

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands 1

Guiseley 3

Ashton United 1

Redcar Athletic 0

Workington 3

Cleethorpes 2

Bridlington Town 3

Curzon Ashton 2

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Marine -

Avro 2

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chester -

Darlington FC -

TBD -

Bury FC 3

Prescot Cables 0

Mickleover 1

Alfreton 2

TBD -

Southport -

Chorley -

TBD -

Buxton -

Worksop -

TBD -

South Shields -

Leek Town 4

Bootle 1

TBD -

Morecambe -

Bourne 1

Banbury 0

Anstey Nomads 0

Bromsgrove 1

Bedford -

TBD -

Chesham -

Needham Market 0

Wingate & Finchley 2

Deal Town 1

Hashtag 3

Braintree -

TBD -

Kettering 6

Quorn 2

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Loughborough Students 0

Stourbridge 2

Evesham 0

Halesowen 4

Redditch 3

Gloucester City 2

Telford -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Hemel Hempstead -

Hereford -

TBD -

Brackley -

Faversham 0

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Oxford City -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Harborough -

Billericay -

TBD -

Hastings 2

Waltham Abbey 3

Enfield Town 5

Hanworth Villa 1

TBD -

Spalding United -

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Aveley 2

Carshalton 1

Farnham -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town 1

Cray Wanderers 2

Weymouth 3

Sholing 2

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Dartford 3

Three Bridges 2

TBD -

AFC Totton -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Torquay -

Didcot 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Slough Town -

Maidstone -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

Whitehawk 4

St. Albans 3

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Taunton Town 1

Wimborne 4

Egham Town 0

Uxbridge 3

Bath City 1

Frome Town 0

TBD -

Truro -

Leatherhead 2

Eastbourne Borough 3

Takeley 0

Chertsey Town 4

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Erith Town 3

Burgess Hill 4

Salisbury -

TBD -

Gosport Borough 0

Chichester City 2

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

1/64-finals

Hebburn Town -

Guiseley -

Ashton United -

Workington -

Bridlington Town -

Macclesfield -

Spennymoor -

Scarborough Athletic -

Radcliffe -

Marine -

Avro -

Chester -

Darlington FC -

Bury FC -

Alfreton -

Southport -

Chorley -

Buxton -

Worksop -

South Shields -

Leek Town -

Morecambe -

Bourne -

Bromsgrove -

Bedford -

Chesham -

Wingate & Finchley -

Hashtag -

Braintree -

Kettering -

King’s Lynn -

Stourbridge -

Halesowen -

Redditch -

Telford -

Chelmsford -

Hednesford -

Hemel Hempstead -

Hereford -

Brackley -

Newmarket -

Oxford City -

Merthyr Town -

Harborough -

Billericay -

Waltham Abbey -

Enfield Town -

Spalding United -

Dagenham & Red. -

Dorking Wanderers -

Walton & Hersham -

Aveley -

Farnham -

Ebbsfleet -

Folkestone -

Cray Wanderers -

Weymouth -

Hampton & Richmond -

Dartford -

AFC Totton -

Horsham FC -

Torquay -

Didcot -

Slough Town -

Maidstone -

Maidenhead -

Whitehawk -

Tonbridge -

Wimborne -

Uxbridge -

Bath City -

Truro -

Eastbourne Borough -

Chertsey Town -

Dover Ath. -

Burgess Hill -

Salisbury -

Chichester City -

Weston-super-Mare -

Farnborough -

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Merthyr Town

Harborough

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

Harborough

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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