Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Twamley L.
76'
Jones M.
81' Event
Twamley L.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Merthyr Town and Peterborough Sports finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Merthyr Town
6%
Draws
4%
Peterborough Sports
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Peterborough Sports haven't matched Merthyr Town's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Merthyr Town a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 12%
Peterborough Sports Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merthyr Town Peterborough Sports
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 National League North
Peterborough Sports vs Merthyr Town
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Twamley L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Peterborough Sports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 83 / 100
Peterborough Sports 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merthyr Town Peterborough Sports

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Peterborough Sports conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Peterborough Sports registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Peterborough Sports
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029