Sport Picks

England

FA Cup

Merthyr Town

1 - 1

Truro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Merthyr Town

30%

Draws

33%

Truro

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Merthyr Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence

Truro have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Merthyr Town are scoring more at 1.71.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Merthyr Town, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 16%

Truro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Merthyr Town	Truro
Matches Played	35	31
Wins	13	13
Draws	8	6
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.71	1.19
Goals Conceded	1.57	0.84
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South

Merthyr Town vs Truro

2:1

Jan 21, 2023 Southern League Premier South

Truro vs Merthyr Town

0:0

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup

Merthyr Town vs Truro

5:2

Mar 30, 2022 Southern League Premier South

Truro vs Merthyr Town

3:1

Nov 6, 2021 Southern League Premier South

Merthyr Town vs Truro

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merthyr Town 36 / 100

Truro 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Merthyr Town Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Truro conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Merthyr Town went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Merthyr Town VS Truro

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)

12 Sept

Scarborough Athletic

0 : 0

Merthyr Town

08 Sept

Chester

0 : 1

Merthyr Town

05 Sept

Merthyr Town

2 : 1

Macclesfield

31 Aug

Buxton

2 : 1

Merthyr Town

29 Aug

Merthyr Town

1 : 1

Chorley

Page 1 of 7

Truro

(Away)

15 Sept

Truro

0 : 1

Salisbury

12 Sept

Truro

1 : 1

Walton & Hersham

08 Sept

Truro

4 : 1

Leicester U21

05 Sept

Truro

3 : 1

Chesham

31 Aug

Dorking Wanderers

1 : 0

Truro

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Heaton Stannington 1

Knaresborough Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Trafford 3

AFC Emley 3

Bishop Auckland 1

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC 8

Wythenshawe FC 0

Workington 3

Marske United 0

Vauxhall 0

Dunston 2

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

TBD -

Whitby 2

Ashton United 5

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck 5

Thornaby 1

TBD -

Chester -

Northwich Victoria 2

Atherton Collieries 3

Prescot Cables 2

Horbury Town 0

Redcar Athletic 1

Stocksbridge 0

TBD -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands 3

Hyde 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

TBD -

Stockton 3

Guiseley 4

Shildon 2

Warrington Town 6

South Liverpool 4

Prestwich Heys 3

South Shields -

TBD -

Avro 0

Witton Albion 2

Morecambe -

TBD -

Southport -

Garforth 1

United of Manchester 5

Ossett United 1

Pontefract Collieries 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Bradford PA 2

Lancaster 3

Tadcaster Albion 1

Bromsgrove 2

Nuneaton 0

Sporting Khalsa 0

Leek Town 5

North Ferriby FC 0

Barton Town 2

Bourne 2

Boldmere St Michaels 3

Leamington 3

Ilkeston 1

Sherwood Colliery 2

Gainsborough 4

Alvechurch 2

Wolverhampton City 0

Lye Town 1

Racing Club Warwick 5

Harborough -

TBD -

Stourbridge 1

Rushall 3

Telford -

TBD -

Worksop -

Wellingborough 3

Kettering 4

Quorn 2

Shepshed 1

Halesowen 3

Basford Utd. 1

Stamford 0

Mickleover 1

Hednesford -

TBD -

Coventry United 2

Bedworth United 1

Spalding United -

TBD -

Hanley Town 2

Abbey Hulton 1

Knowle 1

Worcester 2

Alfreton 0

Stratford 2

Stafford 3

Northampton on Chenecks 0

TBD -

Hereford -

Northampton Sileby 0

Anstey Nomads 4

Cleethorpes 1

Newcastle Town 2

Malvern Town 1

Redditch 5

Belper Town 0

Evesham 3

FC Witham Town 3

Stotfold 2

St. Albans 2

Hashtag 0

Leighton Town 1

Gorleston 4

London Lions 2

Bury Town 4

Chesham -

TBD -

Ware 6

Fakenham 4

Stortford 2

Berkhamsted Town 3

Hendon 7

Hullbridge 3

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 4

Grays 0

Leiston 5

Desborough Town 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Peterborough Sports 4

Ipswich Wanderers 0

Bedford -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley 4

Cheshunt 2

Concord Rangers 2

Brentwood 4

Stanway Rovers 1

Needham Market 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Cambridge City 6

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Yaxley 1

Buckhurst Hill 4

Billericay -

TBD -

Frenford 0

Enfield Town 4

Harleston Town 3

Romford 1

Real Bedford 4

Royston Town 1

Dunstable 1

Woodford Town 3

Mulbarton Wanderers 3

Cornard United 0

Canvey Island 2

Newmarket 1

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Brantham 0

Waltham Abbey 7

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Three Bridges 0

Kingstonian 1

Leatherhead 3

Croydon Athletic 0

Westfield 1

Dartford 3

Hayes & Yeading 2

Camberley Town 1

Chertsey Town 3

Carshalton 2

Sittingbourne 3

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4

Lewes 2

Cray Wanderers 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Egham Town 0

Chatham 4

Dulwich Hamlet 4

East Grinstead Town 0

Faversham 2

Welling 3

Southall FC 2

Cobham 1

TBD -

Dorking Wanderers -

Whitehawk 2

Eastbourne Borough 4

Holmesdale 1

Windsor & Eton 5

Margate 1

Snodland 3

Redhill 1

Sheppey United 2

Walton & Hersham -

TBD -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Ramsgate 1

Bracknell Town 0

Flackwell Heath 0

Hanwell Town 1

Burgess Hill 3

Jersey Bulls 1

Hampton & Richmond -

TBD -

Crowborough 4

Whyteleafe 3

Uxbridge 3

Haywards Heath 0

TBD -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Ebbsfleet -

Broadfields United 1

Chichester City 4

SE Dons 2

Erith Town 0

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Folkestone -

Ascot United 1

Pagham 3

Hanworth Villa 4

Whitstable Town 1

AFC Totton -

TBD -

Gloucester City 5

Mangotsfield 1

Torquay -

TBD -

Basingstoke 0

AFC Stoneham 1

Weston-super-Mare -

TBD -

Wimborne 3

Portishead Town 1

Brixham 2

Dorchester 3

TBD -

Oxford City -

Fleetlands 0

Cirencester 3

TBD -

Farnham -

Winslow United 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Bath City 0

Weymouth 2

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Slimbridge 4

Wells City 0

Hungerford 4

Brackley -

TBD -

Portchester 2

Portland United 1

St. Blazey 1

Tiverton 2

Sholing 2

Andover New Street 0

Bishops Cleeve 2

Poole Town 1

Tadley Calleva 3

Laverstock & Ford 1

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Truro -

Falmouth Town 2

Frome Town 4

Gosport Borough 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Thame United 3

Reading City 2

Banbury 1

Exmouth Town 2

Yate 3

Devizes Town 0

Chippenham Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Salisbury -

TBD -

Taunton Town 4

Millbrook 0

TBD -

Quarter-finals

Heaton Stannington -

Trafford -

AFC Emley -

Spennymoor -

Bury FC -

Workington -

Dunston -

Scarborough Athletic -

Redcar Town -

Darlington FC -

Buxton -

Ashton United -

Marine -

Radcliffe -

Lower Breck -

Chester -

Atherton Collieries -

Prescot Cables -

Redcar Athletic -

Macclesfield -

Warrington Rylands -

Chorley -

Hebburn Town -

Guiseley -

Warrington Town -

South Liverpool -

South Shields -

Witton Albion -

Morecambe -

Southport -

United of Manchester -

Ossett United -

Bradford PA -

Lancaster -

Bromsgrove -

Leek Town -

Barton Town -

Boldmere St Michaels -

Leamington -

Gainsborough -

Alvechurch -

Racing Club Warwick -

Harborough -

Rushall -

Telford -

Worksop -

Kettering -

Quorn -

Halesowen -

Mickleover -

Hednesford -

Coventry United -

Spalding United -

Hanley Town -

Worcester 2

Stratford 1

Stafford -

Hereford -

Anstey Nomads -

Newcastle Town -

Redditch -

Evesham -

FC Witham Town -

St. Albans -

Gorleston -

Bury Town -

Chesham -

Ware -

Berkhamsted Town -

Hendon -

Hemel Hempstead -

Wingate & Finchley -

Hitchin -

Leiston -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Peterborough Sports -

Bedford -

King’s Lynn -

Aveley -

Brentwood -

Needham Market -

Braintree -

Cambridge City -

Buckhurst Hill -

Billericay -

Enfield Town -

Harleston Town -

Real Bedford -

Woodford Town -

Mulbarton Wanderers -

Canvey Island -

Chelmsford -

Waltham Abbey -

Dagenham & Red. -

Kingstonian -

Leatherhead -

Dartford -

Hayes & Yeading -

Chertsey Town -

A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -

Cray Wanderers -

Maidstone -

Slough Town -

Chatham -

Dulwich Hamlet -

Welling -

Southall FC -

Dorking Wanderers -

Eastbourne Borough -

Windsor & Eton -

Snodland -

Sheppey United -

Walton & Hersham -

Horsham FC -

Tonbridge -

Ramsgate -

Hanwell Town -

Burgess Hill -

Hampton & Richmond -

Crowborough -

Uxbridge -

Farnborough -

Maidenhead -

Ebbsfleet -

Chichester City -

SE Dons -

Dover Ath. -

Folkestone -

Pagham -

Hanworth Villa -

AFC Totton -

Gloucester City -

Torquay -

AFC Stoneham -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wimborne -

Dorchester -

Oxford City -

Cirencester -

Farnham -

Swindon Supermarine -

Weymouth -

Slimbridge -

Hungerford -

Brackley -

Portchester -

Tiverton -

Sholing -

Bishops Cleeve -

Tadley Calleva -

Merthyr Town -

Truro -

Frome Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

Thame United -

Exmouth Town -

Yate 0

Chippenham Town 0

Salisbury -

Taunton Town -

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Merthyr Town vs Truro

England

Merthyr Town

Truro

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

Truro

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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