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Mertzig vs Bettembourg

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has Bettembourg written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Mertzig at 1 goals for, 3.89 against; Bettembourg at 1.28 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Mertzig slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bettembourg. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mertzig
15%
Draws
85%
Bettembourg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bettembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bettembourg lately — more wins on the board than Mertzig.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bettembourg taking it.
  • Bettembourg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mertzig Clean Sheet 18%
Bettembourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mertzig Bettembourg
Matches Played 9 32
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 3.89 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Luxembourg Cup
Mertzig vs Bettembourg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mertzig 10 / 100
Bettembourg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mertzig Bettembourg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bettembourg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bettembourg has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Mertzig's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bettembourg registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mertzig VS Bettembourg
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mertzig

(Home)
21 Sept
Mertzig
2 : 3
Alisontia Steinsel
06 Oct
Mertzig
2 : 4
Union Titus Petange
01 Oct
Mertzig
1 : 4
FC Mamer
02 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 4
Mondorf
18 Oct
Mertzig
0 : 5
Dudelange
Page 1 of 2

Bettembourg

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Junglinster
1 : 2
Bettembourg
14 Jul
Hesperange
0 : 2
Bettembourg
09 Nov
US Feulen
2 : 1
Bettembourg
21 Sept
Jeunesse Junglinster
2 : 6
Bettembourg
29 May
Bettembourg
0 : 1
Bissen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
US Folschette 1
Mondercange 4
Diekirch 1
Dudelange 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 1
Rumelange 9
AS Hosingen 0
Racing Luxembourg 6
Echternach 2
Hesperange 1
Grevenmacher 3
FC Residence Walferdange 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
The Belval Belvaux 4
FC Schengen 0
Ettelbruck 1
CS Sanem 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Syra Mensdorf 1
Kaerjeng 9
Sporting Bertrange 3
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Hostert 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
FC Mamer 4
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 1
Mondorf 10
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 1
SC Ell 1
Jeunesse Canach 4
Alliance Aischdall 0
Berdenia Berbourg 7
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
FC Kopstal 33 0
Progres Niedercorn 7
US Sandweiler 2
Wiltz 6
Lintgen 3
Fola 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Bettembourg 2
Les Aiglons Dalheim 0
Union Titus Petange 8
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
Avenir Beggen 7
Esch 0
UNA Strassen 8
Erpeldange 3
Lorentzweiler 4
US Boevange/Attert 1
US Feulen 3
ALSS Luxembourg 1
Bissen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Differdange 5
Jeunesse Schieren 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Koeppchen 3
1/16-finals
Mondercange -
Dudelange -
Rumelange -
Racing Luxembourg -
Echternach -
Grevenmacher -
The Belval Belvaux -
Ettelbruck -
Victoria Rosport -
Kaerjeng -
Sporting Bertrange -
Hostert -
FC Mamer -
Mondorf -
Luxembourg City -
Jeunesse Canach -
Berdenia Berbourg -
Jeunesse Esch -
Progres Niedercorn -
Wiltz -
Lintgen -
Bettembourg -
Union Titus Petange -
Union Remich/Bous -
Avenir Beggen -
UNA Strassen -
Lorentzweiler -
US Feulen -
Bissen -
Differdange -
FC Rodange 91 -
Koeppchen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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