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Mervue United vs Longford Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 2013 Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Duffy M.
79'
Tracey C.

AI Match Summary

Mervue United in this Division 1 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mervue United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mervue United
20%
Draws
33%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mervue United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Mervue United.
  • Mervue United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mervue United Longford
Matches Played 31 40
Wins 16 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2014 League Cup
Longford vs Mervue United
2:0
Oct 25, 2013 Division 1
Longford vs Mervue United
4:2
Oct 18, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Longford
1:0
Sep 27, 2013 Division 1
Mervue United vs Longford
1:0
Jul 27, 2013 Division 1
Longford vs Mervue United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mervue United Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 2.01
Avg xA / game 1.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mervue United 47 / 100
Longford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mervue United Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mervue United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mervue United scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Longford conceded in 70% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mervue United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mervue United VS Longford
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mervue United

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
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Longford

(Away)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athlone 28 16 7 5 42:22 55
2 Longford 28 15 5 8 55:34 50
3 Mervue United 28 14 7 7 46:31 49
4 Waterford 28 14 5 9 40:24 47
5 Wexford 28 10 3 15 29:47 33
6 Finn Harps 28 8 7 13 31:42 31
7 Cobh Ramblers 28 8 7 13 42:54 31
8 Salthill 28 4 5 19 23:54 17
Promotion - Premier Division 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Division 1 2013 (Promotion)