Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Merw vs Altyn Asyr

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Merw and Altyn Asyr finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altyn Asyr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Merw
15%
Draws
54%
Altyn Asyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Altyn Asyr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merw Altyn Asyr
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.07 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
0:0
Jun 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
3:2
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merw 30 / 100
Altyn Asyr 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merw Altyn Asyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Merw scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Merw stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Altyn Asyr conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merw VS Altyn Asyr
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merw

(Home)
19 Sept
Sagadam
0 : 2
Merw
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Ahal
4 : 0
Merw
15 Aug
Merw
0 : 1
Nebitci
Page 1 of 6

Altyn Asyr

(Away)
19 Sept
Nebitci
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
15 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
1 : 2
Altyn Asyr
07 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 1
FC Asgabat
Page 1 of 6