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Merw vs Altyn Asyr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merw host Altyn Asyr in the Yokary Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Merw have averaged 1.03 scored and 2.76 conceded recently, against Altyn Asyr's 2.24 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Merw have won 0 to Altyn Asyr's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.44, favoring Altyn Asyr. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Merw
15%
Draws
64%
Altyn Asyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Merw haven't matched Altyn Asyr's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Altyn Asyr a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Altyn Asyr have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merw Altyn Asyr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.03 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
3:2
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:0
May 13, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merw 10 / 100
Altyn Asyr 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merw Altyn Asyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merw's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Altyn Asyr has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Merw has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Merw VS Altyn Asyr
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Merw

(Home)
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Merw
3 : 2
FC Asgabat
22 Aug
Ahal
4 : 0
Merw
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Altyn Asyr

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
22 Aug
Altyn Asyr
2 : 5
Arkadag
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