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Stadium Background

Merw vs Nebitci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nebitci in this Yokary Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nebitci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Merw
15%
Draws
73%
Nebitci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nebitci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Nebitci have won more games recently than Merw.
  • Model gives Nebitci a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nebitci here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%
Nebitci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Merw Nebitci
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Merw
3:0
Aug 15, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Nebitci
0:1
May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Nebitci vs Merw
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Nebitci
4:1
Nov 8, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Nebitci
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Merw 10 / 100
Nebitci 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Merw Nebitci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nebitci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nebitci has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Nebitci has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Merw's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Merw VS Nebitci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Merw

(Home)
21 Oct
Altyn Asyr
5 : 0
Merw
17 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Merw
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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Nebitci

(Away)
24 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 0
Nebitci
17 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Merw
11 Oct
Nebitci
2 : 1
Sagadam
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
12 Sept
Ahal
3 : 0
Nebitci
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