Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mes Kerman and Naft Gachsaran finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mes Kerman
35%
Draws
19%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mes Kerman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mes Kerman are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 15 11
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran
2:1
Feb 15, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Mes Kerman
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 77 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Naft Gachsaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naft Gachsaran conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Mes Kerman remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Naft Gachsaran has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mes Kerman's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Naft Gachsaran
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

Naft Gachsaran

(Away)
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)