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Mes Kerman vs Saipa

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman host Saipa in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mes Kerman at 0.68 goals for, 0.59 against; Saipa at 1.06 for, 0.58 against. Past meetings favor Saipa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 20, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.75, favoring Saipa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mes Kerman
30%
Draws
47%
Saipa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mes Kerman haven't matched Saipa's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 20%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Saipa
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 8 18
Draws 17 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.68 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Saipa
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
0:0
May 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Saipa
0:1
Dec 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Mes Kerman
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 36 / 100
Saipa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Saipa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saipa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Kerman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mes Kerman's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Saipa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 36% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Saipa
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
Page 1 of 7

Saipa

(Away)
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1
Saipa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Saipa 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Niroye Zamini 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Mes Kerman 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Shahin Bandar Ameri 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Naft Bandar Abbas 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Fard 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Mes Rafsanjan 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Naft Gachsaran 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Pars Janoobi Jam 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Besat Kermanshah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Havadar SC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Ario Eslamshahr 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
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