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Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Kerman host Shahin Bandar Ameri in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Mes Kerman have averaged 0.68 scored and 0.59 conceded recently, against Shahin Bandar Ameri's 0.77 scored and 1.18 conceded. Head-to-head, Mes Kerman have won 1 to Shahin Bandar Ameri's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.68 vs 0.81, favoring Mes Kerman. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mes Kerman
35%
Draws
32%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Shahin Bandar Ameri haven't matched Mes Kerman's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 20%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Kerman Shahin Bandar Ameri
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 8 6
Draws 17 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.68 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Kerman 31 / 100
Shahin Bandar Ameri 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Kerman Shahin Bandar Ameri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahin Bandar Ameri let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Mes Kerman has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mes Kerman scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mes Kerman VS Shahin Bandar Ameri
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Kerman

(Home)
05 Oct
Niroye Zamini
0 : 0
Mes Kerman
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 7

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Away)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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