Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal TEH

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Sub
Salimi I. In: Ghaffari S.
Out: Salimi I.
8'
Mehri S.
15' Event
Munir El Haddadi
Assist: Eslami M.

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan host Esteghlal TEH in the Persian Gulf Pro League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Mes Rafsanjan at 0.38 goals for, 1 against; Esteghlal TEH at 0.88 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Esteghlal TEH slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.94) point toward Esteghlal TEH. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mes Rafsanjan
30%
Draws
34%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Mes Rafsanjan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Persian Gulf Pro League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal TEH
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mes Rafsanjan
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Munir El Haddadi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 36 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Esteghlal TEH

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan scored in 37% of their last 27 games.

Esteghlal TEH let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Mes Rafsanjan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal TEH lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Esteghlal TEH
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915