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Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Saberipour M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Mes Rafsanjan and Besat Kermanshah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Rafsanjan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mes Rafsanjan
30%
Draws
31%
Besat Kermanshah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Besat Kermanshah come out ahead of Mes Rafsanjan on wins alone.
  • Mes Rafsanjan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Besat Kermanshah
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.5 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.15 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.34 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Besat Kermanshah
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Saberipour M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.17

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 42 / 100
Besat Kermanshah 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Besat Kermanshah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Besat Kermanshah conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mes Rafsanjan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Besat Kermanshah registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mes Rafsanjan found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (26 games).

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Besat Kermanshah
0.17 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
17% Over 1.5 25%
17% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Rafsanjan

(Home)
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Besat Kermanshah

(Away)
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Besat Kermanshah
1 : 2
Pars Janoobi Jam
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Ario Eslamshahr 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Pars Janoobi Jam 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 Naft Bandar Abbas 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Fard 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
6 Mes Rafsanjan 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
7 Besat Kermanshah 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
8 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
9 Shahin Bandar Ameri 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
10 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Niroye Zamini 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
13 Mes Kerman 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Naft Gachsaran 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Havadar SC 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
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