Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Damash Gilan

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Ramezani A.

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan host Damash Gilan in the Hazfi Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Damash Gilan have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Mes Rafsanjan have conceded 0.33 and scored 0.33. Past meetings favor Mes Rafsanjan slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.17 - 0.42) back Mes Rafsanjan to edge this. Mes Rafsanjan in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mes Rafsanjan
6%
Draws
4%
Damash Gilan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mes Rafsanjan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Damash Gilan.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Cup tournament structure in Hazfi Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Damash Gilan
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 4 2
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.33 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.33 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Mes Rafsanjan vs Damash Gilan
1:0
Feb 23, 2020 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:3
Oct 11, 2019 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Damash Gilan
4:0
Mar 28, 2016 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:2
Oct 28, 2015 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Damash Gilan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramezani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Damash Gilan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 85 / 100
Damash Gilan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Damash Gilan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan scored in 37% of their last 27 games.

Damash Gilan let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mes Rafsanjan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Damash Gilan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Damash Gilan
0.33 Goals Scored 0.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 2
17% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Foolad Hormozgan2
Chooka Talesh0
Esteghlal TEH2
Padyab Khalkhal1
Havadar SC3
Bargh1
Saipa1
Mazandaran0
Gol Gohar1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Mes Rafsanjan1
Damash Gilan0
Aluminium Arak1
Malavan2
Mes Shahr Babak1
Fajr Sepasi0
Besat Kermanshah0
Naft Gachsaran1
Paykan2
Shahrdari Noshahr0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Foolad3
Chadormalu1
Zob Ahan0
Mes Kerman0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad2
KIA FA1
Shams Azar Qazvin3
Niroye Zamini2
Tractor2
Persepolis1
1/8-finals
Foolad Hormozgan0
Esteghlal TEH2
Havadar SC2
Saipa3
Gol Gohar1
Mes Rafsanjan0
Malavan3
Mes Shahr Babak0
Naft Gachsaran0
Paykan1
Foolad2
Chadormalu0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad3
Shams Azar Qazvin-
Tractor-
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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