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Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium
Sun, Mar 15, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Rafsanjan host Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League. This one's hard to separate. Mes Rafsanjan have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Fajr Sepasi's 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Mes Rafsanjan have won 2 to Fajr Sepasi's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.13, favoring Fajr Sepasi. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mes Rafsanjan
20%
Draws
38%
Fajr Sepasi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi have won more games recently than Mes Rafsanjan.
  • Model gives Mes Rafsanjan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1
May 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Dec 15, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0
Aug 2, 2020 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 42 / 100
Fajr Sepasi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Fajr Sepasi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mes Rafsanjan's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Fajr Sepasi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915