Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rafiei S.
Assist: Alipour A.
39'
Ramezani A.
46'
Sub
Omri M. In: Alishah O.
Out: Omri M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Mes Rafsanjan and Persepolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mes Rafsanjan
33%
Draws
27%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Persepolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mes Rafsanjan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 68%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Persepolis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
0:1
May 1, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:3
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0
Jan 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafiei S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 50 / 100
Persepolis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Persepolis has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mes Rafsanjan's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Persepolis has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Persepolis
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Rafsanjan

(Home)
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
07 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
Page 1 of 6

Persepolis

(Away)
26 Jun
Chadormalu
2 : 1
Persepolis
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
14 Feb
Gol Gohar
3 : 1
Persepolis
08 Feb
Malavan
1 : 0
Persepolis
03 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)