Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rafiei S.
Assist: Alipour A.
39'
Ramezani A.
46'
Sub
Omri M. In: Alishah O.
Out: Omri M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Mes Rafsanjan and Persepolis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persepolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mes Rafsanjan
30%
Draws
47%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persepolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 26%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Rafsanjan Persepolis
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 4 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.46 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
0:1
May 1, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:3
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:0
Jan 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafiei S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Rafsanjan 10 / 100
Persepolis 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Rafsanjan Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Mes Rafsanjan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mes Rafsanjan's goal record stands at 31% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Persepolis has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mes Rafsanjan VS Persepolis
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Rafsanjan

(Home)
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Jul
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 3
Sanat Naft
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
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Persepolis

(Away)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)