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Mes Shahr Babak vs Malavan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Gerami F.
42'
Afsordeh A.
45' Event
Shahriari E.
Assist: Eslamikhah G.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Mes Shahr Babak and Malavan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malavan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mes Shahr Babak
35%
Draws
39%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Malavan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mes Shahr Babak's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Malavan have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Malavan
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.19 0.78
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Malavan
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Malavan vs Mes Shahr Babak
3:0
Apr 5, 2022 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Malavan
2:3
Nov 22, 2021 Azadegan League
Malavan vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Roustaei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahriari E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramezani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 50 / 100
Malavan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Shahr Babak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Malavan conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Mes Shahr Babak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Malavan
1.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Shahr Babak

(Home)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7

Malavan

(Away)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)