Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Mazandaran

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mes Shahr Babak play Mazandaran in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mes Shahr Babak averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Mazandaran averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. In past meetings, Mes Shahr Babak won 1, Mazandaran won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Mes Shahr Babak and 1.00 for Mazandaran. This points to a Mes Shahr Babak double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Mes Shahr Babak

16%

Draws

40%

Mazandaran

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Mes Shahr Babak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Mes Shahr Babak picked up more points recently compared to Mazandaran.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 23%

Mazandaran Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mes Shahr Babak	Mazandaran
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	18	16
Draws	6	7
Losses	4	5
Goals Scored	1.32	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League

Mazandaran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Nov 28, 2025 Azadegan League

Mes Shahr Babak vs Mazandaran

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Nov 24, 2024 Hazfi Cup

Mazandaran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaziri A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shamsi M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Mazandaran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 44 / 100

Mazandaran 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mes Shahr Babak Mazandaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mes Shahr Babak or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mes Shahr Babak attacking → ← attacking Mazandaran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Mazandaran let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Mes Shahr Babak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mazandaran lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 55

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18