Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tajik M.

AI Match Summary

Mes Shahr Babak host Naft Bandar Abbas in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mes Shahr Babak at 1.63 goals for, 0.38 against; Naft Bandar Abbas at 0.63 for, 0.38 against. Past meetings favor Mes Shahr Babak slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.51, favoring Mes Shahr Babak. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mes Shahr Babak
40%
Draws
29%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Naft Bandar Abbas.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 8 16
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Tajik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 32 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Naft Bandar Abbas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Mes Shahr Babak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Naft Bandar Abbas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618