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Mes Shahr Babak vs Niroye Zamini Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Baseri M.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mes Shahr Babak and Niroye Zamini finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mes Shahr Babak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mes Shahr Babak
35%
Draws
32%
Niroye Zamini
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Mes Shahr Babak taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 68%
Niroye Zamini Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Niroye Zamini
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 12 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Niroye Zamini
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:1
May 18, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Niroye Zamini
4:0
Jan 3, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Top Goalscorer Baseri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Niroye Zamini Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 50 / 100
Niroye Zamini 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Niroye Zamini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Shahr Babak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Niroye Zamini let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mes Shahr Babak stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Niroye Zamini
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Shahr Babak

(Home)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 6

Niroye Zamini

(Away)
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
0 : 1
Niroye Zamini
16 Jul
Niroye Zamini
0 : 2
Sanat Naft
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Niroye Zamini
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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