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Mes Shahr Babak vs Persepolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mes Shahr Babak host Persepolis in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mes Shahr Babak have averaged 1.19 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Persepolis's 1.36 scored and 0.96 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.69 - 1.19) back Mes Shahr Babak to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Mes Shahr Babak
35%
Draws
50%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mes Shahr Babak carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Persepolis a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 20%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mes Shahr Babak Persepolis
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 14 12
Draws 12 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mes Shahr Babak 24 / 100
Persepolis 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mes Shahr Babak Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Shahr Babak found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Persepolis conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Solid form: Mes Shahr Babak remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Persepolis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mes Shahr Babak VS Persepolis
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mes Shahr Babak

(Home)
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7

Persepolis

(Away)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
10 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
11 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
14 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)