Sport Picks

Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2014/2015 Agrano Vachadze Stadium

FC Ozurgeti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Meshakhte Tkibuli play FC Ozurgeti in the Pirveli Liga 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Meshakhte Tkibuli averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. FC Ozurgeti averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Meshakhte Tkibuli won 1, FC Ozurgeti won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 10, 2016 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Meshakhte Tkibuli and 1.13 for FC Ozurgeti. This points to a Meshakhte Tkibuli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Meshakhte Tkibuli

24%

Draws

33%

FC Ozurgeti

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Meshakhte Tkibuli picked up more points recently compared to FC Ozurgeti.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 21%

FC Ozurgeti Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Meshakhte Tkibuli	FC Ozurgeti
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	10	6
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	0.87	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.52	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Ozurgeti

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 19, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Ozurgeti vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Apr 16, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Ozurgeti vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Mar 4, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Ozurgeti

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Nov 4, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

FC Ozurgeti vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 43 / 100

FC Ozurgeti 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Meshakhte Tkibuli FC Ozurgeti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Meshakhte Tkibuli or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Meshakhte Tkibuli attacking → ← attacking FC Ozurgeti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

FC Ozurgeti let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Meshakhte Tkibuli went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Ozurgeti lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 21

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iberia 1999	36	28	3	5	92:25	87
2	Locomotive Tbilisi	36	21	5	10	87:42	68
3	Odishi 1919	36	20	6	10	69:41	66
4	Samgurali	36	19	3	14	76:50	60
5	Chiatura	36	17	3	16	53:52	54
6	Matchakhela	36	14	3	19	48:66	45
7	Sasco Tbilisi	36	11	9	16	61:67	42
8	Chkherimela	36	12	4	20	35:71	40
9	STU Tbilisi	36	11	2	23	47:97	35
10	Adeli Batumi	36	6	4	26	37:94	22

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sapovnela Terjola	36	23	8	5	64:28	77
2	Borjomi	36	16	6	14	40:43	54
3	Gagra	36	15	6	15	59:44	51
4	Betlemi Keda	36	14	7	15	51:50	49
5	FC Ozurgeti	36	13	9	14	45:68	48
6	Algeti Marneuli	36	12	11	13	47:39	47
7	Meshakhte Tkibuli	36	14	5	17	57:55	47
8	Khobi	36	12	11	13	46:48	47
9	Skuri Tsalenjikha	36	11	13	12	47:55	46
10	Dinamo Tbilisi 2	36	9	6	21	42:68	33