Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Andghuladze S.
45' Event
Parkadze L.
46'
Sub
Andghuladze S. In: Chikovani N.
Out: Andghuladze S.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Meshakhte Tkibuli and FC Rustavi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Rustavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
35%
Draws
35%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Rustavi come out ahead of Meshakhte Tkibuli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 16%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli FC Rustavi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi
0:1
Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:0
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Rustavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Parkadze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 36 / 100
FC Rustavi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rustavi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Meshakhte Tkibuli found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Rustavi has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Meshakhte Tkibuli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS FC Rustavi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
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FC Rustavi

(Away)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)