Sport Picks
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gagra
Georgia
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri 
Match Events
11'
11'
Arsic V.
17'
17'
Gabiskiria B.
45'
45'
Eric Pimentel
AI Match Summary
The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Meshakhte Tkibuli and Gagra finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gagra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gagra carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%
Gagra Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Meshakhte Tkibuli | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gagra
1:1
Apr 27, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gagra
2:1
Nov 21, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
4:1
Sep 14, 2017 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Gagra
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare
Top Goalscorer Sikalo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Gagra Compare
Top Goalscorer Borges P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 / 100
Gagra 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Meshakhte Tkibuli Gagra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gagra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gagra conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Meshakhte Tkibuli found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Meshakhte Tkibuli has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Gagra
1 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Meshakhte Tkibuli
(Home) 21 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 Dinamo Batumi
16 Aug
Dila Gori
3 : 1 Meshakhte Tkibuli
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2 Samgurali
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0 Meshakhte Tkibuli
25 Jul
Gonio
1 : 2 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1 Dinamo Batumi
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2 Samgurali
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4 Urartu
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1 Gagra
30 May
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 6 Dinamo Tbilisi
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Gagra
(Away) 22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0 Gagra
17 Aug
Gagra
1 : 1 Spaeri
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2 Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4 Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 0 Gagra
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2 Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4 Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2 Gagra
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1 Gagra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rustavi | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29:18 | 41 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 34 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30:22 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Batumi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:32 | 34 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 36:25 | 31 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | 31 |
| 7 | Dila Gori | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:22 | 30 |
| 8 | Gagra | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 21:30 | 24 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 30:32 | 23 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 15:40 | 11 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
