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Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Meshakhte Tkibuli Logo

Meshakhte Tkibuli

2 - 2
FT
Spaeri Logo

Spaeri

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sikharulidze I.
Assist: Gabiskiria B.
16'
Kurdadze L.
22' Event
Burduli G.
Assist: Gabiskiria B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
35%
Draws
16%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Spaeri have won more games recently than Meshakhte Tkibuli.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Meshakhte Tkibuli taking it.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 68%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Spaeri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
2:2
May 25, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikharulidze I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burduli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegiadze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samkharadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 59 / 100
Spaeri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Meshakhte Tkibuli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Spaeri
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Spaeri

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)