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Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Agrano Vachadze Stadium, Ambrolauri
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Meshakhte Tkibuli host Torpedo Kutaisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Torpedo Kutaisi have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Meshakhte Tkibuli have conceded 1.79 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Torpedo Kutaisi slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.44) back Torpedo Kutaisi to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
35%
Draws
43%
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torpedo Kutaisi come out ahead of Meshakhte Tkibuli on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Torpedo Kutaisi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 16%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Meshakhte Tkibuli Torpedo Kutaisi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
0:2
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
3:0
Apr 1, 2010 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0:1
Sep 27, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Meshakhte Tkibuli 31 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Meshakhte Tkibuli Torpedo Kutaisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Meshakhte Tkibuli scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Meshakhte Tkibuli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Meshakhte Tkibuli VS Torpedo Kutaisi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Home)
10 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2
Iberia 1999
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Away)
10 Oct
Spaeri
3 : 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 28 14 8 6 47:36 50
2 FC Rustavi 28 14 7 7 35:24 49
3 Iberia 1999 28 15 4 9 40:31 49
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 28 13 9 6 45:31 48
5 Dila Gori 28 12 4 12 39:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 9 10 9 46:37 37
7 Samgurali 28 10 5 13 41:52 35
8 Gagra 28 6 11 11 25:40 29
9 Spaeri 28 5 11 12 37:46 26
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 28 2 11 15 21:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)