Sport Picks
Mesquita vs EC Vera Cruz
Brazil
Carioca C 2025 
AI Match Summary
Mesquita play EC Vera Cruz in the Carioca C 2025. EC Vera Cruz are favorites here. Recently, Mesquita averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. EC Vera Cruz averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Mesquita won 0, EC Vera Cruz won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Mesquita and 2.31 for EC Vera Cruz. This points to a EC Vera Cruz double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mesquita picked up more points recently compared to EC Vera Cruz.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mesquita | EC Vera Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mesquita scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
EC Vera Cruz let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Mesquita went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
EC Vera Cruz lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paraty | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 39:14 | 27 |
| 3 | Riostrense | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Uniao Central | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 34:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventus RJ | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:9 | 24 |
| 6 | EC Vera Cruz | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Angra dos Reis | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Rio Barra | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 9 | Buzios | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16:33 | 12 |
| 10 | Duque Caxiense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 11 | Caac Brazil | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10:35 | 9 |
| 12 | Mesquita | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:28 | 7 |
| 13 | Barcelona EC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5:33 | 4 |