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Mesquita vs Madureira

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca 2008
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Mesquita host Madureira in the Campeonato Carioca 2008. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Mesquita at 0 goals for, 0 against; Madureira at 0.88 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Madureira slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2009, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.54 - 0.99) back Madureira to edge this. Madureira in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mesquita
6%
Draws
90%
Madureira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Madureira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Madureira has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mesquita.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Madureira.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Carioca 2008 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mesquita Clean Sheet 20%
Madureira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mesquita Madureira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 Carioca
Madureira vs Mesquita
2:1
Feb 6, 2008 Carioca
Mesquita vs Madureira
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mesquita 10 / 100
Madureira 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mesquita Madureira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mesquita scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Madureira let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mesquita went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Madureira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madureira
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%