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Mestre vs Altavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Trovade G.
68' Event
Arma R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Mestre and Altavilla finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mestre
35%
Draws
37%
Altavilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mestre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mestre's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Altavilla
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.94 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Mestre
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Altavilla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Trovade G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Arma R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 46 / 100
Altavilla 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Altavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mestre stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Altavilla conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Altavilla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
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Altavilla

(Away)
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0
Altavilla
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)