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Mestre vs Altavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Chajari O.
34' Event
Legal L. C.
38' Event
Marchesini M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Mestre and Altavilla finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mestre
35%
Draws
25%
Altavilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mestre carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mestre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Altavilla
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Altavilla
3:2
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Mestre
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Altavilla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Legal L. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valente N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Chajari O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchesini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 50 / 100
Altavilla 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Altavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mestre scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Altavilla has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Mestre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Altavilla
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
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Altavilla

(Away)
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0
Altavilla
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Cjarlins Muzane 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Campodarsego 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
4 Luparense FC 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
5 Mestre 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
6 Calcio San Dona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Conegliano 4 2 1 1 2:4 7
8 Virtus Bolzano 4 2 0 2 4:8 6
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Calvi Noale 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
11 Legnago Salus 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
12 FC Obermais 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
13 Triestina 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
14 Este 4 1 0 3 3:4 3
15 Bassano Virtus 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
16 Schio 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
17 Altavilla 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Brian Lignano 4 0 0 4 5:11 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)