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Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bangal F.
76' Event
Marangon G.

AI Match Summary

Mestre host Cjarlins Muzane in the Serie D - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cjarlins Muzane have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Mestre have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Cjarlins Muzane slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.13, favoring Mestre. Mestre in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mestre
39%
Draws
30%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mestre has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cjarlins Muzane.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Mestre Clean Sheet 21%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Mestre
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Cjarlins Muzane
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Mestre
2:3
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Mestre
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangal F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Marangon G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 32 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Cjarlins Muzane

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mestre scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Cjarlins Muzane let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mestre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cjarlins Muzane lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Cjarlins Muzane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111