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Mestre vs Levico Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Carini F.
7' Event
Corteggiano G.
21' Event
Orsega M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 game between Mestre and Levico Terme finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mestre
35%
Draws
22%
Levico Terme
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mestre come out ahead of Levico Terme on wins alone.
  • Mestre are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Levico Terme Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mestre Levico Terme
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 12 13
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Levico Terme
4:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Levico Terme vs Mestre
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Levico Terme vs Mestre
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Levico Terme
1:1
Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Levico Terme vs Mestre
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Carini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corteggiano G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Levico Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Orsega M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mestre 77 / 100
Levico Terme 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mestre Levico Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mestre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levico Terme's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Mestre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mestre found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Mestre VS Levico Terme
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mestre

(Home)
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 7

Levico Terme

(Away)
05 Aug
Levico Terme
0 : 0
FC Obermais
07 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 2
Levico Terme
30 Apr
Levico Terme
3 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
23 Apr
Este
1 : 1
Levico Terme
16 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)